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Monte Carlo Statistical Analysis for Short-term NAAQS Compliance and Intermittent Emission Units

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Monte Carlo Statistical Analysis for Short-term NAAQS Compliance and Intermittent Emission Units
Wednesday, July 12, 1:00 pm – 3:00 pm ET

The promulgation of the probabilistic and stringent 1-hour standards in 2010 has triggered the need for a reassessment in the model characterization of certain source types. Specifically, sources with periodic but random emissions (e.g., the maintenance and testing of emergency engines at data centers or natural gas transmission station compressor engines) pose unique challenges using standard and simplified assumptions in AERMOD.

This webinar will explore the scientific and regulatory challenges of using Monte Carlo sampling techniques to better characterize the potential air quality impacts of intermittent sources. The use of Monte Carlo has extensive scientific precedent in related fields, but is relatively new when used to demonstrate compliance with air quality standards under the Clean Air Act. This webinar will provide an overview of Monte Carlo sampling; examples of its implementation; factors to consider during implementation and use; and case studies such as the Pipeline Research Council International (PCRI) Balko natural gas compressor station study.
     $169 A&WMA Member; $229 Nonmember
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Presenters: 

Adrian Huth, Air Quality Engineer, Innovative Environmental Solutions, Inc.

Adrian Huth is an Air Quality Engineer with 9 years’ experience with a focus in the oil and natural gas industry. Mr. Huth specializes in AERMOD NO2 compliance modeling and created, managed, and analyzed the air monitoring database associated with the PRCI AERMOD Balko data set. He co-created and programmed a randomly reassigned emissions model in Excel for conducting a Monte Carlo analysis of intermittently operating combustion sources. Mr. Huth earned a B.S. in Aerospace Engineering from Iowa State University.

Michael Kiss, Manager, Office of Air Quality Assessments, Virginia DEQ
Michael Kiss manages the Office of Air Quality Assessments for the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality. He has nearly 35 years of experience in the air quality field, including 32 years with the Virginia DEQ. He specializes in air quality dispersion modeling, meteorological data analysis, photochemical modeling, State Implementation Plans and air permitting. Mike has a B.S. in Meteorology from Rutgers University.

Jeff Panek, Principal, Innovative Environmental Solutions, Inc.
Jeff Panek is a Principal with Innovative Environmental Solutions, Inc. with over 35 years of experience in the air quality field. He specializes in air quality dispersion modeling and permitting analyses, air toxic and criteria pollutant emission inventory preparation, continuous and accidental release dispersion modeling, meteorological data analysis and reporting, risk analysis, control technology evaluation, and regulatory review and interpretation. Jeff has a B.S. in Meteorology from Northern Illinois University.

Jason Reed, Air Quality Meteorologist
Jason Reed is an air quality meteorologist with over 23 years of experience in air quality modeling analyses. He is an American Meteorological Society-designated Certified Consulting Meteorologist (CCM). He has applied many of the EPA-recommended and alternative dispersion models to complex air quality and meteorological issues for projects across the U.S. and internationally while spanning virtually all industrial sectors. The modeling analyses have been in support of state implementation plans, state or federal permits, fatal flaw analyses, environmental assessments, and litigation. He earned his B.S. in Meteorology from Penn State and M.S. in Environmental Engineering from the University of Hartford.

Moderator: Tony Schroeder, Principal Consultant, Trinity Consultants
Tony Schroeder is a Principal Consultant with Trinity Consultants' office in Cleveland, OH with over 20 years of professional experience. He provides air permitting, regulatory compliance, expert witness, and air dispersion modeling support to clients in various industries. He has been designated a Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Qualified Environmental Professional, and Certified Manager. He earned a B.S. in Atmospheric Science from Ohio State and a M.S. in Meteorology from Penn State.